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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Lyon

Lorient
1 - 4
Lyon

Moffi (57')
Monconduit (32')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Faivre (5', 78'), Dembele (26'), Toko Ekambi (59')

Preview: Lorient vs. Lyon - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The weekend's Ligue 1 action gets underway as Lyon travel northwest to Brittany to take on Lorient at the Stade du Moustoir on Friday evening.

The two sides were on different ends of a 1-0 scoreline last weekend, with the hosts having picked up an important win whilst the visitors' recent resurgence faltered.


Match preview

Lorient's Armand Lauriente celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 10, 2021© Reuters

Lorient's loss at home to Montpellier saw them drop into the relegation playoff spot in 18th, with just goal difference separating them from bottom spot.

Just their fifth win of the season on Sunday, though, has changed the complexion of the incredibly-tight bottom five once again.

Having travelled to Brest for a Breton derby, Les Merlus found themselves with a man advantage after Brendan Chardonnet was dismissed inside half an hour, and eventually made their ensuing pressure pay as Ibrahima Kone finally broke the deadlock in the 73rd minute.

A single goal was enough to secure their second win in four league games and their first top-flight away win since October 17 2020 - a run of 28 games.

It also moved Christophe Pelissier's side up to 16th in the table, but with four teams just two points back, they will need to keep up this momentum or risk dropping all the way to the foot of the table.

Lyon's Moussa Dembele celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on February 1, 2022© Reuters

Speaking of momentum, Lyon had built up a fair amount since the turn of the year, winning four and drawing two of their seven games in 2022.

Two weeks ago, they had just beaten podium-side Nice 2-0 and were tied with Rennes and Monaco for a place in the Europa Conference League.

A draw with Lens was followed up by a disappointing 1-0 loss to struggling champions Lille, though, Gabriel Gudmundsson's first Ligue 1 goal proving the difference as Lucas Paqueta's late equaliser was ruled out for a foul.

That result saw Les Gones drop all the way back down to 10th, but the competition in the top half of the table is as tightly contested as the bottom five.

Whilst fourth and fifth-placed Rennes and Strasbourg have opened out a three-point gap to those below them, Lyon are just two points shy of Lens in sixth, and we have seen just how quickly things can change in the French top flight this season.

Lorient Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W

Lyon Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Lyon's Jerome Boateng during the warm up before the match on September 19, 2021© Reuters

Jeremy Morel is fit to return to the Lorient side, but will likely remain on the bench against his former club as Pelissier sticks with a winning formula.

Julien Laporte will be suspended for an accumulation of yellow cards, with Moritz Jenz set to take his place in defence, whilst Stephane Diarra and Fabien Lemoine remain doubts.

For the visitors, Jerome Boateng missed training on Wednesday but should be fit if called upon by Peter Bosz.

Jason Denayer and Jeff Reine-Adelaide are also both expected to be in the squad, but Sinaly Diomande continues to struggle and will not be available.

Lorient possible starting lineup:
Dreyer; Mendes, Jenz, Petrot, Le Goff; Innocent, Lauriente, Monconduit, Abergel, Moffi; Soumano

Lyon possible starting lineup:
Lopes; Dubois, Boateng, Lukeba, Emerson; Ndombele, Caqueret; Faivre, Paqueta, Toko Ekambi; Dembele


SM words green background

We say: Lorient 1-2 Lyon

Whilst the hosts come into the match on the back of a positive result and the visitors on a poor one, we are backing Lyon to bounce back and secure all three points in what should be a tight game.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Lorient vs Lyon

Lorient
8.5%
Draw
26.6%
Lyon
64.9%
94
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Belgium's Jason Denayer before the match on June 3, 2021
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris FCParis FC1383222111127
2Lorient1382326151126
3DunkerqueDunkerque138142218425
4Metz137332112924
5Annecy136432118322
6AmiensAmiens136251715220
7GuingampGuingamp136162119219
8Grenoble135261715217
9Laval134451816216
10Bastia123721313016
11PauPau134451317-416
12Rodez AFRodez AF134362422215
13Clermont134361215-315
14Caen134271417-314
15Ajaccio124261013-314
16Troyes134271117-614
17Red Star134271223-1114
18Martigues13238826-189


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