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Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Saint-Etienne

Lorient
6 - 2
St Etienne

Moffi (42' pen., 86'), Kone (45+1', 65'), Le Fee (61'), Boisgard (89')
Le Fee (29'), Moffi (87')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Bouanga (4'), Nordin (22')
Mangala (14'), Nade (35'), Kolodziejczak (41'), Neyou (68')
Neyou (68')

Preview: Lorient vs. Saint-Etienne - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Lorient will welcome Saint-Etienne to the Stade du Moustoir for their crucial Ligue 1 relegation battle on Friday night.

Both sides head into this contest off the back of heavy defeats against the league's top two sides last weekend, with Lorient conceding five against Paris Saint-Germain, while Saint-Etienne let in four against Marseille.


Match preview

Lorient's Terem Moffi celebrates scoring their first goal with Houboulang Mendes on April 3, 2022© Reuters

Lorient suffered their heaviest Ligue 1 defeat for over five years when they were beaten 5-1 away at league leaders Paris Saint-Germain on Sunday.

Terem Moffi got his name on the scoresheet in the 56th minute to pull one back for the visitors, after strikes from Neymar and Kylian Mbappe had put the hosts two goals in front before the break, but the latter two both scored again either side of a Lionel Messi strike to condemn Les Merlus to their 14th league defeat of the season.

Christophe Pelissier's side still remain in a precarious position in the Ligue 1 standings, currently hovering just one point above the bottom three with eight games remaining.

While Lorient were not expected to cause an upset at the Parc des Princes, they will fancy their chances of success on Friday against fellow strugglers Saint-Etienne. Encounters with basement club Bordeaux, Metz and Troyes will also be viewed as winnable games as they head into the final stretch.

Les Merlus have won more Ligue 1 games on home soil against Saint-Etienne than any other team in the division, coming out on top in seven of their 12 meetings at the Stade du Moustoir. However, in this season's top flight, Lorient have accumulated the fewest points against teams currently in the bottom half of the table (11).

Pelissier's men have also won only one of their last 11 league matches at home, winning 2-0 against Lens in February, so they will need to be on top of their game if they are to claim maximum points on Friday.

Saint-Etienne's Denis Bouanga celebrates scoring their first goal on February 26, 2022© Reuters

After claiming five points from three league matches in March, Saint-Etienne began the month of April with a 4-2 home defeat against Marseille.

Denis Bouanga was gifted the opener in the ninth minute when his strike was fumbled into the net by goalkeeper Pau Lopez, but Marseille restored parity when Dimitri Payet converted from the penalty spot in first-half stoppage time.

The visitors then took control of proceedings in the second half, with an own goal from Timothee Kolodziejczak, a penalty kick from Bamba Dieng and a strike from Amine Harit putting the game to bed. 18-year-old Lucas Gourna-Douath pulled one back for Les Verts with his first senior goal in the 86th minute, but it was only a consolation goal for the hosts, who suffered their 15th defeat of the season.

With the other four teams around them at the bottom of the Ligue 1 table also failing to win last weekend, Pascal Dupraz's men remain in 18th place, four points above Metz in the bottom two and one point behind both Clermont and Friday's opponents Lorient in the two positions above them.

Saint-Etienne head into Friday's contest having won only one of their last six Ligue 1 away games. Les Verts have also lost their last two encounters at the Stade du Moustoir, losing both by a 2-1 scoreline.

Dupraz's side played out a 1-1 draw against Les Merlus in the reverse fixture back in August, but they will be hoping to improve in the final third this time around, after seeing only three of their 20 shots on goal hit the target in that game.

Lorient Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Saint-Etienne Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L


Team News

Lorient's Armand Lauriente celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 10, 2021© Reuters

Lorient are set to be without Stephane Diarra and Samuel Loric as they continue to recover from respective muscle and knee injuries.

The hosts, however, will be able to welcome back Bonke Innocent, who served a one-match suspension last time out, but the Nigeria international may be forced to settle for a place on the substitutes' bench, as Enzo Le Fee, Thomas Monconduit and Laurent Abergel are all set to start in centre-midfield.

Armand Lauriente and Ibrahima Kone could both support Moffi in attack; the latter has only scored one goal in his last 12 home matches.

As for Saint-Etienne, top scorer Wahbi Khazri remains sidelined with a hamstring injury, but he could return to first-team action at the end of this month.

Romain Hamouma (wrist), Saidou Sow (ankle), Falaye Sacko and Yvann Macon (both knee) are also ruled out with injuries.

Ryad Boudebouz is expected to continue as the central attacker in Khazri's absence, with Arnaud Nordin and Bouanga set to join the Algerian in the final third.

Lorient possible starting lineup:
Dreyer; Mendes, Laporte, Petrot, Le Goff; Lauriente, Abergel, Monconduit; Lauriente, Kone; Moffi

Saint-Etienne possible starting lineup:
Bernardoni; Moukoudi, Mangala, Nade; Thioub, Camara, Gourna-Douath, Kolodziejczak; Nordin, Boudebouz, Bouanga


SM words green background

We say: Lorient 1-1 Saint-Etienne

While both Lorient and Saint-Etienne will view Friday's contest as a must-not-lose fixture, victory for either side here would provide a major boost in their quest to avoid relegation.

Goals could on the cards considering two of the weakest defensive sides will be on show at the Stade du Moustoir, but with little to separate them, they may be forced to share the spoils.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:482556:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11865:
Written by
Oliver Thomas

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Lorient vs St Etienne

Lorient
45.7%
Draw
34.0%
Saint-Etienne
20.2%
94
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient16103330151533
2Paris FCParis FC1694324131131
3DunkerqueDunkerque1610152621531
4Metz1685324131129
5Annecy167632318527
6Laval167452517825
7GuingampGuingamp168172622425
8AmiensAmiens167272021-123
9Bastia1641021614222
10PauPau166461819-122
11Rodez AFRodez AF165562926320
12Grenoble165381820-218
13Troyes165381519-418
14Red Star165381628-1218
15Clermont164571419-517
16Caen164391824-615
17Ajaccio164391017-715
18Martigues162311834-269


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