Bottom-placed Metz head into Sunday's contest with Clermont knowing that victory could prove pivotal come the end of the season.
The home side sit five points adrift of their next opponents in the standings, and a win may move them to within two points of safety.
Match preview
© Reuters
When Metz were keeping clean sheets with regularity, their supporters would have had high hopes of the club avoiding relegation to the second tier.
However, despite four goalless draws since the start of February, Metz have since posted three successive defeats, conceding nine goals in the process.
Last weekend's 3-1 reverse at nearest rivals Bordeaux has the potential to prove decisive come the end of the campaign, particularly with the home side coming from behind to record three crucial points.
Frederic Antonetti's side are now under pressure to deliver an immediate response with games against Lyon and Paris Saint-Germain to come later in the run-in.
You have to go all the way back to December 12 for the last time that Metz delivered at Stade Saint-Symphorien, Les Grenats since going six games without success.
Remarkably, the bottom-placed side, who are without a win in 10 outings, are the form team heading into this contest with Clermont having lost five times on the bounce.
Not so long ago, Clermont managed 10 points from a possible 15, a period which included wins at Nice and Marseille, but they now appear to be in freefall.
A total of 18 goals have been conceded in 450 minutes, Les Lanciers losing out 6-1 to PSG last weekend after shipping four strikes during the final 19 minutes.
The only positive that Pascal Gastien can take heading into this fixture is that Clermont have still found the back of the net on their last three appearances, but his team now sit just one point clear of the relegation zone.
- D
- L
- D
- L
- L
- L
- D
- L
- L
- L
- L
- L
Team News
© Reuters
Having replaced Nicolas de Preville at half time last weekend, Farid Boulaya could be drafted into the Metz attack.
Opa Nguette will also hope to be included in the final third, while Jemerson is in line to be restored to a three-man defence.
Despite losing heavily to PSG, Gastien may opt to stick with the majority of the team which started that fixture with Clermot's capitulation coming after changes had been made.
Nevertheless, Jim Allevinah, Grejohn Kyei and Lucas Da Cunha are all options to come into the starting lineup.
This game will come too soon for the likes of injured pair Vital N'Simba and Cedric Hountondji.
Metz possible starting lineup:
Caillard; Bronn, Kouyate, Jemerson; Delaine, Pajot, N'Doram, Cande; Sarr; Ze, Boulaya
Clermont possible starting lineup:
Desmas; Zedadka, Seidu, Billong, Mendy; Magnin, Gastien; Dossou, Berthomier, Khaoui; Bayo
We say: Metz 1-1 Clermont
In the context of their respective campaigns, this is a huge fixture for both clubs. Metz will feel obliged to make most of the running as they look to take advantage of a winnable fixture, but we feel that Clermont will do enough to earn a potentially-important share of the spoils.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.