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Major League Soccer
DC United
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
RFK Stadium
Toronto FC

DC United
2 - 2
Toronto

Flores (8'), Estrada (56')
Hines-Ike (16'), Alfaro (23'), Smith (84'), Durkin (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akinola (36'), Osorio (89')
Salcedo (10'), Jimenez (45+1'), Osorio (80'), Achara (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

Last Six:
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-1 DC United
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 2-0 Toronto

 When you are losing in the fashion that Toronto have been, it can be challenging to snap out of that sort of funk, and at the moment, nothing seems to be going their way, despite probably deserving a little better. The Black and Red always seem to be able to recover from a setback, and we anticipate their dangerous attacking players will punish the Reds, who have yet to solve their defensive issues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawToronto
51.71% (-2.191 -2.19) 23.89% (0.541 0.54) 24.4% (1.65 1.65)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (-0.673 -0.67)46.59% (0.672 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (-0.637 -0.64)68.86% (0.63499999999999 0.63)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (-1.059 -1.06)18.02% (1.058 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (-1.848 -1.85)48.89% (1.848 1.85)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75% (1.083 1.08)33.25% (-1.084 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (1.174 1.17)69.86% (-1.176 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    DC United 51.7%
    Toronto 24.4%
    Draw 23.89%
DC UnitedDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.369 -0.37)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.395 -0.4)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 51.7%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.168 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.6% (0.372 0.37)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.321 0.32)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.304 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.181 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.092 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 24.4%

How you voted: DC United vs Toronto

DC United
64.7%
Draw
23.5%
Toronto
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 7pm
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Pozuelo (24'), Osorio (53')
Pozuelo (47'), Osorio (55'), O'Neill (77'), MacNaughton (82')
Canouse (10')
Flores (49'), Najar (72'), Yow (83')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Toronto
1-3
DC United
Laryea (18')
Dwyer (74')
Birnbaum (13'), Kamara (30' pen., 36')
Felipe (65'), Pines (76'), Mora (85'), Birnbaum (90')
Jul 3, 2021 10.30pm
DC United
7-1
Toronto
Paredes (2'), Robertha (8'), Priso-Mbongue (21' og.), Arriola (71'), Kamara (82'), Rodrigo Asad (85'), Yow (90')
Gressel (57')
Akinola (39')
Gonzalez (35'), Osorio (45+2'), Zavaleta (75')
Zavaleta (78')
Sep 20, 2020 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Kamara (5'), Yow (88')
Paredes (81')
Pozuelo (17'), Akinola (60')
DeLeon (25'), Piatti (41'), Laryea (67')
Jul 26, 2020 12.30am
Toronto
P-P
DC United
rhs 2.0
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