Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.