We said: Inter Miami 1-2 CF Montreal
Both of these sides have come a long way from a season ago, but we are giving Montreal the edge because they have managed to win matches thanks to some solid collective efforts, whereas Miami have depended heavily on their designated players, Higuain and Campana, to get by.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.