We said: Toronto 1-1 CF Montreal
TFC should be the desperate team heading into this encounter, but despite how far they have come over the past couple of months, their backline still lacks consistency and structure, two flaws which have cost them some valuable points.
Montreal's backline have been equally poor, though this team have proven that they can be a potent attacking unit away from home, and we expect them to create their share of opportunities and eventually find the back of the net in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.