We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-3 Austin FC
This encounter comes at a bad time for the Galaxy, who played their bitter rivals Los Angeles FC at the U.S. Open Cup in midweek, and given the emotional and physical toll that El Traffico can have, it could be difficult for them to maintain the intensity needed this weekend.
In their last three games, five different Austin players have got their name on the scoresheet, which shows that they are not a one-dimensional team, and we expect them to successfully exploit a Galaxy side who at the moment have left their share of gaps at the back.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.