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Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 23, 2022 at 1am UK
Austin FC Stadium
Orlando City

Austin
2 - 2
Orlando City

Driussi (63' pen.), Djitte (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kara (2'), Ruan (22')
Schlegel (58'), Pereyra (60'), Jansson (82'), Gallese (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

Last Six:
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Austin
Sunday, May 29 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Montreal vs. Austin
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

Last Six:
Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Dallas
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: New England vs. Orlando City
Thursday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-1 Orlando City

 Both of these teams have had strong starts to the season, showcasing why they are threats to win silverware at the end of the campaign. This one should be a closely-fought contest because of that, but with Austin having the home advantage they head into the game as the favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawOrlando City
48.84% (0.313 0.31) 25.14% (-0.173 -0.17) 26.01% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 52.33% (0.414 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5% (0.603 0.6)50.5% (-0.602 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (0.531 0.53)72.43% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (0.378 0.38)20.7% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7% (0.593 0.59)53.3% (-0.59 -0.59)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (0.211 0.21)34.01% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31% (0.226 0.23)70.69% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 48.84%
    Orlando City 26.01%
    Draw 25.14%
Austin FCDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11.08% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 26.01%

How you voted: Austin vs Orlando City

Austin FC
100%
Draw
0.0%
Orlando City
0.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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