MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 08:18:40| >> :120:51552:51552:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Gibraltar national football team
Nations League | League D
Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Europa Park Stadion
San Marino national football team

Gibraltar
1 - 0
San Marino

Britto (62')
De Barr (17'), Britto (23'), Torilla (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tosi (10'), Valli Casadei (15'), Zannoni (60'), Battistini (63'), Lazzari (76'), Benvenuti (83'), Sensoli (87'), Contadini (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Gibraltar and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Gibraltar 2-2 Liechtenstein
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League

San Marino

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 1-0 San Marino
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Gibraltar 2-0 San Marino

 Although San Marino will still be revelling in their recent win, their poor record in both friendlies and competitive matches must make them second favourites in Thursday's clash. Gibraltar are also unbeaten in their last three, and it would not be surprising if they were able to hold onto a lead this time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 19.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gibraltar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gibraltar.

Result
GibraltarDrawSan Marino
58.09% (2.591 2.59) 21.98% (0.324 0.32) 19.93% (-2.914 -2.91)
Both teams to score 54.93% (-5.547 -5.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (-5.293 -5.29)43.4% (5.295 5.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.2% (-5.419 -5.42)65.8% (5.421 5.42)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.34% (-0.959 -0.96)14.66% (0.961 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.19% (-1.872 -1.87)42.81% (1.874 1.87)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.37% (-5.711 -5.71)35.63% (5.713 5.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.6% (-6.378 -6.38)72.4% (6.379 6.38)
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 58.09%
    San Marino 19.93%
    Draw 21.98%
GibraltarDrawSan Marino
1-0 @ 10.03% (1.881 1.88)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.63% (1.53 1.53)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.797 0.8)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.625 -0.63)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.96% (0.292 0.29)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.366 -0.37)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 58.09%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.518 0.52)
0-0 @ 5.22% (1.125 1.13)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.769 -0.77)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.442 -0.44)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.39% (0.444 0.44)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.592 -0.59)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.549 -0.55)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.608 -0.61)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 19.93%

How you voted: Gibraltar vs San Marino

Gibraltar
69.1%
Draw
13.0%
San Marino
17.9%
123
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2020 2pm
League D
San Marino
0-0
Gibraltar
Brolli (75')
Simoncini (49')
Chipolina (15'), Torilla (73'), Styche (81')
Sep 5, 2020 2pm
League D
Gibraltar
1-0
San Marino
Torilla (42')
Walker (90')

Nanni (12'), Simoncini (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!