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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Gibraltar national football team
Nations League | League D
Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Europa Park Stadion
San Marino national football team

Gibraltar
1 - 0
San Marino

Britto (62')
De Barr (17'), Britto (23'), Torilla (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tosi (10'), Valli Casadei (15'), Zannoni (60'), Battistini (63'), Lazzari (76'), Benvenuti (83'), Sensoli (87'), Contadini (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Gibraltar and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Gibraltar 2-2 Liechtenstein
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League

San Marino

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 1-0 San Marino
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Gibraltar 2-0 San Marino

 Although San Marino will still be revelling in their recent win, their poor record in both friendlies and competitive matches must make them second favourites in Thursday's clash. Gibraltar are also unbeaten in their last three, and it would not be surprising if they were able to hold onto a lead this time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 19.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gibraltar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gibraltar.

Result
GibraltarDrawSan Marino
58.09% (2.591 2.59) 21.98% (0.324 0.32) 19.93% (-2.914 -2.91)
Both teams to score 54.93% (-5.547 -5.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (-5.293 -5.29)43.4% (5.295 5.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.2% (-5.419 -5.42)65.8% (5.421 5.42)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.34% (-0.959 -0.96)14.66% (0.961 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.19% (-1.872 -1.87)42.81% (1.874 1.87)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.37% (-5.711 -5.71)35.63% (5.713 5.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.6% (-6.378 -6.38)72.4% (6.379 6.38)
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 58.09%
    San Marino 19.93%
    Draw 21.98%
GibraltarDrawSan Marino
1-0 @ 10.03% (1.881 1.88)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.63% (1.53 1.53)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.797 0.8)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.625 -0.63)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.96% (0.292 0.29)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.366 -0.37)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 58.09%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.518 0.52)
0-0 @ 5.22% (1.125 1.13)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.769 -0.77)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.442 -0.44)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.39% (0.444 0.44)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.592 -0.59)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.549 -0.55)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.608 -0.61)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 19.93%

How you voted: Gibraltar vs San Marino

Gibraltar
69.1%
Draw
13.0%
San Marino
17.9%
123
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2020 2pm
League D
San Marino
0-0
Gibraltar
Brolli (75')
Simoncini (49')
Chipolina (15'), Torilla (73'), Styche (81')
Sep 5, 2020 2pm
League D
Gibraltar
1-0
San Marino
Torilla (42')
Walker (90')

Nanni (12'), Simoncini (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
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