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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
San Marino national football team
Nations League | League D
Sep 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Liechtenstein national football team

San Marino
1 - 0
Liechtenstein

Sensoli (53')
Cevoli (51'), Battistini (87'), Rossi (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hasler (10'), Wieser (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between San Marino and Liechtenstein, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions
Last Game: San Marino 1-4 Cyprus
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Liechtenstein

All competitions
Last Game: Romania 0-0 Liechtenstein
Friday, June 7 at 7pm in International Friendlies

We said: San Marino 1-1 Liechtenstein

 With two of European football's international minnows meeting in Serravalle on Thursday night, we are expecting a hard-fought clash at Stadio Olimpico. San Marino and Liechtenstein will both fancy their chances of scoring rare competitive goals, although we do not believe either side will have enough to claim maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Marino win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Marino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Marino in this match.

Result
San MarinoDrawLiechtenstein
41.83% (-0.269 -0.27) 25.9% (-0.121 -0.12) 32.26% (0.39 0.39)
Both teams to score 53.74% (0.535 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (0.624 0.62)50.44% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (0.55 0.55)72.38% (-0.55 -0.55)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.14100000000001 0.14)23.9% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (0.202 0.2)58.11% (-0.204 -0.2)
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (0.572 0.57)29.38% (-0.572 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (0.694 0.69)65.37% (-0.694 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    San Marino 41.83%
    Liechtenstein 32.26%
    Draw 25.9%
San MarinoDrawLiechtenstein
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.83%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.067 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 32.26%

How you voted: San Marino vs Liechtenstein

San Marino
23.9%
Draw
29.9%
Liechtenstein
46.2%
117
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
League D
Liechtenstein
0-0
San Marino
Brandle (23'), Meier (81'), Hasler (82'), Yildiz (90+1'), Sele (90+3')
Lunadei (58'), Golinucci (63'), Hirsch (71'), Carlos Rossi (79'), Mularoni (89')
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
League D
San Marino
0-2
Liechtenstein

Ceccaroli (3'), Simoncini (27'), Golinucci (50'), Golinucci (52'), Berardi (66')
Hasler (3'), Frick (14')
Frick (42'), Wolfinger (90'), Frommelt (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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