Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.15% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%) , while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.