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Reims
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Jan 24, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
Brest logo

Reims
1 - 0
Brest

Mbuku (40')
Cafaro (70'), Faes (76'), Abdelhamid (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Reims vs. Brest - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Reims and Brest will both be looking to bounce back from respective defeats when the two sides lock horns at the Stade Auguste-Delaune in Sunday's Ligue 1 fixture.

David Guion's side suffered a 2-1 defeat at high-flying Lille last time out, while Brest lost by the same scoreline against another European-chasing team in Rennes.


Match preview

Reims manager David Guion pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Reims have managed to create some much-needed breathing space between themselves and the drop zone recently, but their five-game unbeaten run was brought to an abrupt end at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy last Sunday.

It was truly a game of mistakes as Reims took the lead through Arber Zeneli - whose cross evaded everyone to find the back of the net through Mike Maignan's legs - but Lille restored parity in the second 45 as Jonathan Bamba capitalised on Moreto Cassama's slip to level the scores.

Lille new boy Jonathan David has struggled to find his shooting boots so far this term, but the 21-year-old was on hand to pounce after Predrag Rajkovic's error and poke home with minutes remaining - condemning Reims to their first defeat of the calendar year.

Guion's side had won three and drawn two of their last five before last weekend's defeat - a run of form which sees them sit 15th in the table - six points clear of the bottom three after a turbulent start to the campaign.

Les Rouges et Blancs would stretch their unbeaten home run to five matches should they avoid defeat on Sunday, and the signs are certainly encouraging for Guion and co heading into the business end of the season.

Brest coach Olivier Dall'Oglio pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Brest have become renowned for their high-scoring and entertaining affairs this term, but an unlikely spot in Europe now seems too far-fetched for this weekend's visitors.

Olivier Dall'Oglio's men faced a resurgent Rennes not long after being humbled 3-0 by Paris Saint-Germain, and even though Brest gave Les Rouge et Noir a good run for their money, they ultimately walked away empty-handed.

Franck Honorat took just four minutes to put Brest ahead before Benjamin Bourigeaud levelled the scores not long after, and the in-form Clement Grenier finished from 12 yards as Dall'Oglio's side lost at home for the first time since October.

With only a solitary win to boast from their last six matches, Brest have now fallen to 12th in the table and are at risk of being overtaken by both Strasbourg and Nice in gameweek 21, and only Lorient (21) have shipped more goals on the road than Les Pirates (20) this season.

Goals from Honorat and Steve Mounie helped Brest secure a 2-1 win over Reims earlier in the season, but this weekend's hosts won 1-0 on their own turf last season.

Reims Ligue 1 form: WDWDWL

Brest Ligue 1 form: DDLWLL


Team News

Boulaye Dia pictured for Reims in August 2020© Reuters

Reims midfielder Cassama endured a torrid evening against Lille and is suspended for this fixture, so Marshall Munetsi should be handed a start on Sunday.

The hosts only have two injury concerns in Anastasios Donis and Valon Berisha - neither of whom would have been likely to start here anyway.

Boulaye Dia was unable to add to the 12 goals he has already scored this season against Lille, but only Kylian Mbappe can also boast a dozen strikes this term.

Similarly, Brest also have two absentees who would have been unlikely to force their way into the first XI - defender Denys Bain and second-choice goalkeeper Sebastien Cibois.

It would be a surprise to see Dall'Oglio make any alterations for this game, but Lyon loanee Jean Lucas is pushing for a start in the engine room.

Reims possible starting lineup:
Rajkovic; Foket, Faes, Abdelhamid, Konan; Munetsi; Zeneli, Cafaro, Chavalerin, Mbuku; Dia

Brest possible starting lineup:
Larsonneur; Pierre-Gabriel, Herelle, Chardonnet, Perraud; Honorat, Lasne, Belkebla, Faivre; Mounie, Cardona


SM words green background

We say: Reims 2-1 Brest

Brest have no problems finding the back of the net, but stopping the goals from going in at the other end remains a significant problem for the visitors. Two individual mistakes cost Reims against Lille, but should Guion's men manage to avoid making any similar errors this weekend, they are expected to do enough to return to winning ways.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Brest had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reims in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Reims vs Brest

Reims
79.2%
Draw
12.5%
Brest
8.3%
24
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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