Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 35.13%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.89%) and 2-1 (6.88%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (13.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.