Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 45.73%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.