Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Parma |
41.22% | 25.08% | 33.71% |
Both teams to score 56.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.55% | 46.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.27% | 68.73% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.55% | 22.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.01% | 55.99% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.48% | 26.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.28% | 61.72% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 8.9% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.9% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 31 |
3 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Fiorentina | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 28 |
5 | Lazio | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 28 |
6 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
7 | AC Milan | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
10 | Empoli | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 16 |
11 | Parma | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 15 |
12 | Torino | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 14 |
14 | Genoa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Roma | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
16 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 13 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 12 |
18 | Como | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 11 |
19 | Monza | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |