Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Genoa win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Roma |
| 23.33% | 23.05% | 53.61% |
| Both teams to score 56.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.02% | 43.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.64% | 66.36% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% | 32.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.7% | 69.3% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% | 16.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.03% | 45.97% |
| Score Analysis |
Genoa 23.33%
Roma 53.61%
Draw 23.05%
| Genoa | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 6.04% 1-0 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 3.34% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.44% Total : 23.33% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.47% 0-0 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-1 @ 9.7% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 5.92% 0-3 @ 5.3% 2-3 @ 3.3% 1-4 @ 2.68% 0-4 @ 2.4% 2-4 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.61% |
Head to Head
May 5, 2019 5pm
Apr 18, 2018 7.45pm
