Costa Rica vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42%. A win for USA had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest USA win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.