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World Cup
El Salvador national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Mar 27, 2022 at 10.05pm UK
 
Costa Rica national football team

El Salvador
1 - 2
Costa Rica

Gil (31')
Larin (49'), Reyes (68')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Contreras (30'), Campbell (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between El Salvador and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

El Salvador

Last Six:
Last Game: Grenada 2-2 El Salvador
Wednesday, June 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: El Salvador vs. USA
Wednesday, June 15 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Costa Rica

Last Six:
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-0 Martinique
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Martinique vs. Costa Rica
Friday, March 24 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: El Salvador 0-1 Costa Rica

 For these defensive-minded sides to put up three goals between them in their previous encounter was a rarity, as they both tend to play rather cagey without taking too many risks. With that being said, momentum is on the side of the Costa Ricans, who look determined to get back to the World Cup, and we expect that desperation, along with the goalkeeping of Keylor Navas, to earn them three points in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 34.74%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 31.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.91%) and 2-1 (6.52%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 0-1 (13.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
El SalvadorDrawCosta Rica
34.74%31.72%33.54%
Both teams to score 37.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.9%70.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.7%87.3%
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95%38.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18%74.82%
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09%38.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36%75.64%
Score Analysis
    El Salvador 34.73%
    Costa Rica 33.54%
    Draw 31.71%
El SalvadorDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 14.3%
2-0 @ 6.91%
2-1 @ 6.52%
3-0 @ 2.23%
3-1 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 34.73%
0-0 @ 14.8%
1-1 @ 13.5%
2-2 @ 3.08%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 31.71%
0-1 @ 13.97%
0-2 @ 6.6%
1-2 @ 6.37%
0-3 @ 2.08%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 33.54%

How you voted: El Salvador vs Costa Rica

El Salvador
14.7%
Draw
26.5%
Costa Rica
58.8%
68
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2021 11.05pm
Costa Rica
2-1
El Salvador
Ruiz (52'), Borges (57' pen.)
Borges (66')
Henriquez (12')
Marcelo Diaz (46'), Dominguez (63')
Orellana (85')
Aug 22, 2021 4am
El Salvador
0-0
Costa Rica

Monterroza (19'), Orellana (53'), Gomez (69')

Venegas (38'), Andres Sequeira Sibaja (49'), Jose Blanco Mora (81')
Jul 12, 2015 2am
Group B
Costa Rica
1-1
El Salvador
Ruiz (61')
Campbell (9'), Venegas (89'), Guzman (93')
Corea (92')
Menjivar (30'), Mendoza (57'), Ceren (62')
> Match Report
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