World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 14, 2026 2.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Boston Stadium
  • Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 39' yellowcard
  • goal John McGinn 28'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hickey 46'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hickey 47'
  • yellowcard Findlay Curtis 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 90'+5'

Haiti vs Scotland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Haiti

All competitions

Scotland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Haiti win was 2-1 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Haiti 29.07% (-3.79)
Draw 23.73% (+0.43)
Scotland 47.23% (+3.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.9% (-3.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.24% (-2.72)
Under 1.5 20.76% (+2.73)
Over 2.5 56.53% (-4.02)
Under 2.5 43.47% (+4.02)
Over 3.5 34.27% (-3.98)
Under 3.5 65.73% (+3.99)
Over 4.5 20.25% (-2.91)
Under 4.5 79.75% (+2.91)

Corners

Over 8 32.23% (+32.23)
Equal 8 9.66% (+9.66)
Under 8 58.11% (+58.11)
Over 9 24.18% (+24.18)
Equal 9 8.04% (+8.04)
Under 9 67.77% (+67.77)
Over 10.5 17.95% (+17.95)
Under 10.5 82.05% (+82.05)

Haiti Goals

Over 1.5 33.18% (-5.29)
Under 1.5 66.82% (+5.28)
Over 2.5 12.95% (-3.40)
Under 2.5 87.05% (+3.40)
Over 3.5 4.19% (-1.52)
Under 3.5 95.81% (+1.52)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5 78.13% (+1.04)
Under 0.5 21.87% (-1.03)
Over 1.5 48.27% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 51.73% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 23.22% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 76.78% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 9.13% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 90.87% (+0.28)

Score analysis

Haiti 29.08%
Draw 23.74%
Scotland 47.23%
Haiti
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.63)
1-0 @ 6.59% (+0.26)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.39)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.65)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.54)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.39)
Other @ 3.97% (-1.45)
Total : 29.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.54)
0-0 @ 5.32% (+0.94)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.32)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.07)
Total : 23.74%
Scotland
1-2 @ 9.22% (+0.33)
0-1 @ 8.9% (+1.54)
0-2 @ 7.51% (+1.25)
1-3 @ 5.19% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 4.25% (+0.67)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.34)
Other @ 8.91% (-0.20)
Total : 47.23%

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