Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 82.62%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 6.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
82.62% ( 0.83) | 11.12% ( -0.39) | 6.26% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 51.72% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.17% ( 0.18) | 25.83% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54% ( 0.24) | 45.99% ( -0.24) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.43% ( 0.16) | 4.57% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.33% ( 0.5) | 18.67% ( -0.5) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.2% ( -1.06) | 45.8% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.43% ( -0.84) | 81.57% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
3-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 8% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.22) 5-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.12) 6-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.8% Total : 82.61% | 1-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 11.12% | 1-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.65% Total : 6.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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