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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

AC Milan
3 - 3
Salernitana

Leao (22'), Giroud (27'), Calabria (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Simy (64', 89'), Sambia (87')
Pierozzi (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 3-1 AC Milan
Saturday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Salernitana

Salernitana have won just one away match on their way down to Serie B, and that tally is not set to increase at Milan's expense. Although they seem to have mentally switched off, the Rossoneri may rouse themselves to honour Stefano Pioli in his final game at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 82.62%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 6.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
82.62% (0.825 0.83) 11.12% (-0.394 -0.39) 6.26% (-0.432 -0.43)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.919 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.17% (0.182 0.18)25.83% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54% (0.238 0.24)45.99% (-0.238 -0.24)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.43% (0.164 0.16)4.57% (-0.1649 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.33% (0.5 0.5)18.67% (-0.502 -0.5)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.2% (-1.059 -1.06)45.8% (1.057 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (-0.839 -0.84)81.57% (0.837 0.84)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 82.61%
    Salernitana 6.26%
    Draw 11.12%
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
3-0 @ 10.24% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 9.96% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 8% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 7.91% (0.265 0.27)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 6.17% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 4.88% (0.217 0.22)
5-1 @ 3.81% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.115 -0.12)
6-0 @ 2.51% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.41% (-0.061 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.96% (0.053 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.11% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 82.61%
1-1 @ 5.04% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 11.12%
1-2 @ 1.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-1 @ 1.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 6.26%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Salernitana

AC Milan
89.8%
Draw
4.1%
Salernitana
6.1%
49
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Fazio (42'), Candreva (63')
Inzaghi (33'), Kastanos (44'), Mazzocchi (71'), Gyomber (74')
Fiorillo (90+4')
Tomori (17'), Jovic (90')
Leao (35')
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
AC Milan
1-1
Salernitana
Giroud (45+1')
Dia (61')
Jan 4, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 16
Salernitana
1-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (83')
Leao (10'), Tonali (15')
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (29'), Djuric (72')
Ederson (52'), Djuric (72')
Messias (5'), Rebic (77')
Bennacer (35'), Giroud (60'), Rebic (70'), Romagnoli (83')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 16
AC Milan
2-0
Salernitana
Kessie (5'), Saelemaekers (18')
Bakayoko (24')

Di Tacchio (30'), Djuric (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Napoli381314115548753
10Torino381314113636053
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16Empoli3899202954-2536
17CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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