Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
42.61% ( -1.46) | 24.57% ( -0.02) | 32.81% ( 1.48) |
Both teams to score 58.46% ( 0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.6% ( 0.66) | 44.39% ( -0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.23% ( 0.64) | 66.76% ( -0.65) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.08% ( -0.38) | 20.92% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.35% ( -0.6) | 53.64% ( 0.59) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.92% ( 1.25) | 26.07% ( -1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% ( 1.65) | 61.12% ( -1.66) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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