Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 22, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
Tigre2 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Tigre
Saturday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Tigre 1-0 Velez Sarsfield
Both sides are bereft of confidence following their respective winless runs in the Primera Division, but with a new coach at the helm, we think that Tigre could be rejuvenated, and as a result, we believe they will go on to claim a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
46.47% ( 2.09) | 27.58% ( -1.26) | 25.95% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 45.28% ( 2.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
