Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%).