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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Schalke 04 |
60.1% ( -0.01) | 20.65% ( 0) | 19.24% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 58.36% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.69% ( -0) | 38.31% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.4% ( -0) | 60.59% ( 0) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.59% ( -0) | 12.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.7% ( -0) | 38.29% ( 0) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% | 33.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30% ( 0) | 69.99% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.27% 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 60.1% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.65% | 1-2 @ 5.2% 0-1 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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