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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
67.69% ( 0.32) | 16.83% ( -0.13) | 15.48% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 65% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.59% ( 0.25) | 26.41% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.26% ( 0.31) | 46.74% ( -0.31) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.74% ( 0.13) | 7.26% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.7% ( 0.33) | 26.3% ( -0.33) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.09% ( -0.05) | 29.91% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.99% ( -0.06) | 66.01% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.76% Total : 67.69% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.43% Total : 16.83% | 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 15.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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