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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
18.88% ( -1.12) | 21.84% ( -0.1) | 59.28% ( 1.22) |
Both teams to score 53.58% ( -1.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.69% ( -1.2) | 44.31% ( 1.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.31% ( -1.18) | 66.68% ( 1.18) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.72% ( -1.88) | 37.27% ( 1.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.94% ( -1.9) | 74.06% ( 1.9) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.42% ( -0.01) | 14.58% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.34% ( -0.03) | 42.65% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.88% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.53) 0-2 @ 10.07% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 3.11% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 59.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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