Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Freiburg |
40.78% ( 4.99) | 26.03% ( 1) | 33.19% ( -5.98) |
Both teams to score 53.62% ( -3.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.27% ( -4.83) | 50.72% ( 4.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.37% ( -4.42) | 72.62% ( 4.42) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.44% ( 0.48) | 24.56% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.96% ( 0.67) | 59.04% ( -0.67) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.08% ( -5.69) | 28.92% ( 5.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.2% ( -7.66) | 64.8% ( 7.66) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 9.97% ( 1.92) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 7% ( 1.43) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.7) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.78% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.62) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 1.29) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.55) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.91) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.73) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -1) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.76) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.66) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.54) Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |