Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 5, 2023 at 1am UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza6 - 1Estudiantes
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fortaleza and Estudiantes Merida.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-2 Fluminense
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palestino 1-0 Estudiantes
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 74.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 10.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Estudiantes Merida win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortaleza | Draw | Estudiantes Merida |
74.63% ( 0.25) | 15.33% ( -0.15) | 10.04% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.46% ( 0.43) | 33.54% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.66% ( 0.48) | 55.35% ( -0.48) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.4% ( 0.15) | 7.6% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.81% ( 0.39) | 27.19% ( -0.39) |
Estudiantes Merida Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.07% ( 0.1) | 42.92% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.77% ( 0.09) | 79.23% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Fortaleza 74.63%
Estudiantes Merida 10.04%
Draw 15.33%
Fortaleza | Draw | Estudiantes Merida |
2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 74.63% | 1-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.33% | 1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 10.04% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-08 15:06:11
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Transfer rumours: De Jong latest, Osimhen to Chelsea, Murillo to Tottenham
2
Arsenal 'open' to letting 26-year-old leave on loan
3
Manchester United 'open to discussing new contract' with 29-year-old star
4
Manchester United handed Morten Hjulmand transfer boost
5
Albania Euro 2024 squad: Who makes the cut? Which stars have missed out?
6
Germany Euro 2024 squad - Who makes the cut? Which stars have missed out?
7
Arsenal 'make approach' to sign £25.5m La Liga attacker
8
Man United 'add Champions League finalist' to list of Ten Hag replacements
9
Man City midfielder tells Joao Neves to snub Man United move
10
England hint at Trent Alexander-Arnold role as Euro 2024 shirt numbers confirmed
Sport News 24/7