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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 32
Apr 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
Rabobank IJmond Stadion

Telstar
2 - 3
Jong Ajax

Plet (72', 90+5')
Apau (39'), Soares (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martha (28'), Fitz-Jim (57'), Misehouy (77')
Fitz-Jim (45+2'), Martha (55'), de Graaff (87')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 3-1 Telstar
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-1 Dordrecht
Monday, April 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
TelstarDrawJong Ajax
50.62% (0.393 0.39) 22.45% (-0.146 -0.15) 26.92% (-0.246 -0.25)
Both teams to score 62.26% (0.295 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.22% (0.489 0.49)37.78% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.97% (0.521 0.52)60.03% (-0.521 -0.52)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83% (0.31099999999999 0.31)15.17% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.22% (0.584 0.58)43.77% (-0.585 -0.59)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08)26.61% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (0.107 0.11)61.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 50.62%
    Jong Ajax 26.92%
    Draw 22.44%
TelstarDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 50.62%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.92%

Head to Head
Aug 8, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
Telstar
Conceicao (41')
Warmerdam (25'), Pierie (78')
Blommestijn (3')
Overtoom (57'), Najah (77'), Blommestijn (80')
Jan 23, 2022 1.30pm
Telstar
1-0
Jong Ajax
Smit (26')
Tugarinov (45+1'), Aktas (59'), Vlijter (69'), van Velzen (90+7')

Yah (72'), Banel (88')
Nov 1, 2021 7pm
May 12, 2021 7pm
Telstar
1-2
Jong Ajax
Bronkhorst (48')
Vandermeulen (20')
Van Mieghem (42'), Van Gelderen (59')
Fitz-Jim (45+5'), Douglas (68')
Dec 21, 2020 8pm
Jong Ajax
1-2
Telstar
Martha (11')
Musampa (30'), Baas (43')
Bande (48')
Fernandes (54'), Van Wetten (84')
Najah (45+1'), Bronkhorst (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Willem II382310577354279
2Groningen38229771304175
3Roda JC382112569343575
4Dordrecht381815574512369
5ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag381712972502263
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap38196136152963
7EmmenEmmen38176155960-157
8NAC BredaNAC Breda381511126356756
9MVV MaastrichtMVV38168146460456
10Jong AZJong AZ38168146261156
11Helmond SportHelmond38149155255-351
12VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo38139165358-548
13Cambuur38138177174-347
14FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven38916134557-1243
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax381010185469-1540
16Jong PSVJong PSV38117206381-1840
17TelstarTelstar3898214768-2135
18TOP OssOss38104243266-3434
19Den BoschDen Bosch3889213868-3033
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht38511223274-4226


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