MX23RW : Saturday, June 8 09:14:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 11
Jun 2, 2024 at 4pm UK
Alfheim Stadion
Lillestrom

Tromso
1 - 2
Lillestrom

Kvalvagnes Guddal (67')
Norheim (71'), Kvalvagnes Guddal (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Antonsen (20' og.), Lehne Olsen (51')
Christiansen (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Lillestrom, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tromso 3-0 Fredrikstad
Wednesday, May 29 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Odd 2-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Tromso IL 2-1 Lillestrom

This fixture brings a team with good home form against one that is thriving on the road, which should lead to a closely contested fixture. Considering how tight things are in the table at the moment there is plenty on the line here, but the recent form of Tromso could give them the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Tromso ILDrawLillestrom
45.74% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 23.42% (0.0040000000000013 0) 30.84% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 61.65% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.18% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)39.82% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.82% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)62.17% (0.067 0.07)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.73% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.6% (0.009999999999998 0.01)48.4% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)25.06% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (-0.117 -0.12)59.74% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 45.74%
    Lillestrom 30.84%
    Draw 23.41%
Tromso ILDrawLillestrom
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 45.74%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.84%

How you voted: Tromso vs Lillestrom

Tromso IL
56.0%
Draw
24.0%
Lillestrom
20.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 17
Tromso
3-1
Lillestrom
Gundersen (66'), Erlien (72' pen.), Paintsil (89')
Gundersen (22')
Garnas (45+1')
Svendsen (24'), Garnas (52')
Jul 2, 2023 4pm
Aug 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 17
Lillestrom
1-1
Tromso
Christiansen (90+4')
Kitolano (36')
Kitolano (90+5')
May 29, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 9
Tromso
2-2
Lillestrom
Kitolano (42'), Ebiye (90+2')
Gundersen (9')
Matthew (60'), Dragsnes (72')
Christiansen (85'), Adams (90')
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 20
Lillestrom
1-2
Tromso
Lehne Olsen (90+1' pen.)
Ogbu (68')
Vesterlund (27'), Mikkelsen (62')
Psyche (71'), Vesterlund (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt128312581727
2SK BrannBrann138322213927
3Fredrikstad126422011922
4MoldeMolde126332516921
5Viking FKViking FK115421813519
6StromsgodsetStromsgodset115241415-117
7KFUM OsloKFUM113621515015
8RosenborgRosenborg114251518-314
9KristiansundKristiansund123451720-313
10FK HaugesundHaugesund114161015-513
11Lillestrom114161319-613
12Odd123451222-1013
13HamKam122461415-110
14Tromso ILTromso113171419-510
15Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg113171425-1110
16SandefjordSandefjord112361519-49


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!