MX23RW : Tuesday, May 28 19:47:13| >> :600:106045:106045:
Birmingham logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Blackburn


Chong (90+3'), James (120+2')
FT
(aet)
Trusty (100' og.)
Buckley (98'), Brereton Diaz (107'), Travis (114')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Birmingham City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers (after extra time)

With Birmingham having finally ended their dismal run against second-tier opposition, they will be confident of progressing through to the fifth round. However, Blackburn have history of bouncing back from disappointing results, and we feel that they could edge this contest, potentially after extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
35.51% (0.371 0.37) 27.32% (-0.226 -0.23) 37.17% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.88% (0.729 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (0.898 0.9)55.65% (-0.897 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.728 0.73)76.81% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.67999999999999 0.68)29.88% (-0.68 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.815 0.82)65.97% (-0.815 -0.81)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (0.351 0.35)28.86% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (0.433 0.43)64.73% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 35.5%
    Blackburn Rovers 37.17%
    Draw 27.31%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.5%
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.71% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.17%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
29.2%
Draw
26.4%
Blackburn Rovers
44.3%
106
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Blackburn
2-2
Birmingham
Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80'), Brereton Diaz (86')
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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