MX23RW : Tuesday, May 28 18:22:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
3 - 1
Reysol

Dawhan (10'), Meshino (46'), Alano (67' pen.)
Yamamoto (14'), Kurokawa (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hosoya (21')
Takamine (90+9')
Shiihashi (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol

Gamba have distanced themselves from any immediate fears of a relegation battle with a good run of form recently, and the hosts will be confident of extending their unbeaten streak on Sunday. Kashiwa have struggled enormously in the J League for over two months, and this weekend could finally be the time that they drop into the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawKashiwa Reysol
52.48% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06) 26.12% (0.020999999999997 0.02) 21.4% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)58.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)78.71% (0.023999999999987 0.02)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)22.23% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)55.65% (0.061 0.06)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.5% (0.028999999999996 0.03)42.49% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.14% (0.027000000000001 0.03)78.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 52.47%
    Kashiwa Reysol 21.4%
    Draw 26.11%
Gamba OsakaDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 14.2%
2-0 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 52.47%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 21.4%

How you voted: Gamba Osaka vs Reysol

Gamba Osaka
100%
Draw
0.0%
Kashiwa Reysol
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 6am
Gameweek 1
Reysol
2-2
Gamba Osaka
Katayama (42')
Usami (49'), Dawhan (54')
Oct 1, 2022 8am
May 14, 2022 11am
Gameweek 13
Reysol
0-1
Gamba Osaka
Dawhan (71')
Nakamura (51')
Sep 26, 2021 11am
Gameweek 30
Gamba Osaka
2-1
Reysol
Usami (3'), Suganuma (26')
Kamiya (86')
Apr 11, 2021 9am
Gameweek 9
Reysol
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Otani (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia16112327121535
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers16102427171032
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1692524121229
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka168441511428
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus168261917226
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa167362622424
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo166642218424
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1558226151123
9FC Tokyo166552625123
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol155731717022
11Avispa Fukuoka165741517-222
12Tokyo Verdy164932123-221
13Jubilo Iwata165382224-218
14Yokohama F MarinosYokohama134541818017
15Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki164572324-117
16Albirex Niigata164481925-616
17Sagan Tosu154292127-614
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare163582230-814
19Consadole SapporoConsadole162591331-1811
20Kyoto Sanga1624101230-1810


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