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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 26, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
5 - 0
FC Tokyo

Iwasaki (30'), Diego (48'), Honda (70'), Kakita (78', 85')
Diego (42'), Seok-Ho (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

FC Tokyo

Last Six:
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
47.43% (-0.17 -0.17) 27.27% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.3% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 45.6% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.04% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)58.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)79.44% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)24.93% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (-0.131 -0.13)59.56% (0.128 0.13)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.74% (0.11 0.11)39.25% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (0.102 0.1)75.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 47.42%
    FC Tokyo 25.3%
    Draw 27.27%
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.78% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 25.3%

Head to Head
May 8, 2022 7am
FC Tokyo
0-1
Sagan Tosu

Slowik (51'), Yamashita (52'), Matsuki (70')
Horigome (81')
Harada (27'), Fukuta (28')
Aug 9, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
1-0
FC Tokyo
Sento (7')
Seok-Ho (59')

Oumari (31')
Apr 24, 2021 6am
FC Tokyo
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Morishige (53')
Ogawa (5')
Sakai (18'), Higuchi (34')
Matsuoka (46')
Sep 27, 2020 8am
Sagan Tosu
3-0
FC Tokyo
Ishii (26'), Morishita (59'), Uchida (74')

Bangunagande (61'), Watanabe (68'), Oliveira (72')
Aug 1, 2020 11am
FC Tokyo
2-3
Sagan Tosu
Leandro (39'), Hara (86')
Leandro (33'), Oliveira (44'), Muroya (45+3')
Ishii (29'), Morishita (43'), Cho (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia16112327121535
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers16102427171032
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1692524121229
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka168441511428
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus168261917226
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa167362622424
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo166642218424
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1558226151123
9FC Tokyo166552625123
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol155731717022
11Avispa Fukuoka165741517-222
12Tokyo Verdy164932123-221
13Jubilo Iwata165382224-218
14Yokohama F MarinosYokohama134541818017
15Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki164572324-117
16Albirex Niigata164481925-616
17Sagan Tosu154292127-614
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare163582230-814
19Consadole SapporoConsadole162591331-1811
20Kyoto Sanga1624101230-1810
> J1 League Full Table


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