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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 11am UK
EDION Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Hiroshima
0 - 1
Yokohama


Vieira (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Elber (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Yokohama F Marinos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 Hiroshima
Sunday, June 11 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-3 Reysol
Saturday, June 10 at 8am in J1 League

We said: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Yokohama F Marinos

While Yokohama F Marinos have the best attacking record this season with 37 goals, they have also conceded the most of any side in the top half of the table, and it seems unlikely that they will maintain a clean sheet here either. However, Muscat's main plan of action so far this season seems to be based on outscoring their opponents, and we fancy that they will do just that in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawYokohama F Marinos
49.2% (-2.022 -2.02) 23.44% (0.338 0.34) 27.36% (1.683 1.68)
Both teams to score 59.12% (0.384 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9% (-0.193 -0.19)42.1% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.5% (-0.194 -0.19)64.5% (0.194 0.19)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (-0.816 -0.82)17.27% (0.816 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-1.453 -1.45)47.61% (1.453 1.45)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (1.158 1.16)28.54% (-1.158 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68% (1.43 1.43)64.32% (-1.43 -1.43)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49.2%
    Yokohama F Marinos 27.36%
    Draw 23.44%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawYokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.355 -0.36)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 49.2%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.306 0.31)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.247 0.25)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.274 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.214 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 27.36%

How you voted: Hiroshima vs Yokohama

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Yokohama F Marinos
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2023 10am
Gameweek 3
Yokohama
1-1
Hiroshima
Lopes (19')
Higashi (4')
Jul 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 20
Yokohama
3-0
Hiroshima
Koike (32'), Nishimura (58'), Miyaichi (90+1')
Mizunuma (26'), Miyaichi (61')

Matsumoto (48'), Shiotani (81')
Apr 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 7
Hiroshima
2-0
Yokohama
Morishima (34', 58')
Notsuda (8'), Nogami (22')

Matsubara (89')
Sep 11, 2021 11am
Gameweek 28
Hiroshima
1-3
Yokohama
Vieira (8')
Maeda (36'), Saneto (45+1'), Ceara (60')
Mar 7, 2021 4am
Gameweek 2
Yokohama
3-3
Hiroshima
Martins (12'), Matsubara (20'), Junior (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia16112327121535
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers16102427171032
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1692524121229
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka168441511428
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus168261917226
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa167362622424
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo166642218424
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1558226151123
9FC Tokyo166552625123
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol155731717022
11Avispa Fukuoka165741517-222
12Tokyo Verdy164932123-221
13Jubilo Iwata165382224-218
14Yokohama F MarinosYokohama134541818017
15Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki164572324-117
16Albirex Niigata164481925-616
17Sagan Tosu154292127-614
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare163582230-814
19Consadole SapporoConsadole162591331-1811
20Kyoto Sanga1624101230-1810


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