Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Osasuna has a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Osasuna win it is 0-1 (4.31%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
66.62% ( 4.83) | 19.4% ( -1.72) | 13.99% ( -3.1) |
Both teams to score 50.87% ( -1.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.54% ( 1.57) | 42.47% ( -1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.13% ( 1.55) | 64.87% ( -1.54) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.16% ( 1.87) | 11.85% ( -1.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.88% ( 3.84) | 37.12% ( -3.83) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.7% ( -3.13) | 42.3% ( 3.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.31% ( -2.81) | 78.7% ( 2.83) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.81) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 8.11% ( 1.09) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.39) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.84) 4-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.46) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.57% Total : 66.62% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.8) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.44) Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.4% | 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.72) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.73) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.5) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.33) Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |