Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Almeria |
48.87% ( 0.48) | 24.87% ( 0.28) | 26.26% ( -0.77) |
Both teams to score 53.42% ( -1.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.82% ( -1.74) | 49.17% ( 1.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.76% ( -1.59) | 71.24% ( 1.59) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.85% ( -0.49) | 20.15% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.57% ( -0.79) | 52.43% ( 0.79) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% ( -1.53) | 33.1% ( 1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.31% ( -1.72) | 69.69% ( 1.72) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.78% Total : 48.87% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.44% Total : 26.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |