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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Atletico Madrid logo

Mallorca
1 - 0
Atletico

Muriqi (16')
Baba (26'), Kang-in (36'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Grenier (90+3'), Valjent (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Molina (15'), De Paul (34'), Correa (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 0-2 Mallorca
Sunday, November 6 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Mallorca 1-2 Atletico Madrid

We are expecting an extremely tight game, as the in-form hosts battle it out with inconsistent, yet technically superior opponents. We can certainly see Mallorca scoring, given the chaos that Muriqi's presence can often cause, but Simeone's men desperately need to snap their streak and have more than enough talent to do so here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
25.97% (0.114 0.11) 27.56% (0.106 0.11) 46.47% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Both teams to score 45.37% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.47% (-0.291 -0.29)59.53% (0.294 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.12% (-0.226 -0.23)79.88% (0.22699999999999 0.23)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)38.98% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)75.7% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.238 -0.24)25.65% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.325 -0.32)60.55% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 25.97%
    Atletico Madrid 46.47%
    Draw 27.55%
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.087 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 13.6% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.2% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 46.47%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Atletico

Mallorca
15.6%
Draw
10.6%
Atletico Madrid
73.8%
141
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Mallorca
0-2
Atletico

Baba (5'), Budimir (7'), Campos (77')
Costa (26'), Felix (64')
Savic (13'), Felipe (55'), Morata (77'), Correa (86')
Morata (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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