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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Real Valladolid logo

Mallorca
1 - 0
Valladolid

Prats (90+4')
Valjent (31'), Copete (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fresneda (61'), Perez (69'), Kenedy (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pontevedra 0-2 Mallorca
Wednesday, January 4 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Valladolid
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Mallorca 1-1 Real Valladolid

Valladolid have won three of the last four meetings between these two sides in La Liga, but it is difficult to back the visitors to triumph here considering their away record this term. Mallorca have only won twice at home in the league this season, though, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawReal Valladolid
36.55% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 27.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 35.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.69% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.85% (0.057000000000002 0.06)57.15% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.99% (0.044 0.04)78.01% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (0.055000000000007 0.06)29.97% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.067 0.07)66.08% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.48% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.69% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 36.55%
    Real Valladolid 35.73%
    Draw 27.7%
MallorcaDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.55%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 10.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 35.73%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Valladolid

Mallorca
51.0%
Draw
41.2%
Real Valladolid
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2020 5.30pm
Mallorca
0-1
Valladolid

Budimir (17'), Rodriguez (25'), Reina (29'), Hernandez (67')
Unal (56')
Toni (66')
Nov 3, 2019 11am
Valladolid
3-0
Mallorca
Borja (40'), Unal (50' pen.), Ramirez (94')
Michel (45'), Borja (63'), Ramirez (66'), Unal (77'), Alcaraz (85')

Sevilla (55'), Valijent (77'), Sastre (88'), Febas (92')
Dec 5, 2018 8.30pm
Round of 32
Valladolid
2-1
Mallorca
Plano (49'), Verde (88')
Prats (48')
Campos (84')
Oct 31, 2018 7.30pm
Round of 32
Mallorca
1-2
Valladolid
Buenacasa (67')
Ndockyt (30'), Sastre (60')
Verde (8', 35')
Moi (6'), Luismi (44')
Jun 1, 2013 8pm
Mallorca
4-2
Valladolid
Dos Santos (58'), Moreno Marquez (68'), Luis Marti (43'), Alfaro (17')
Tunon Geromel (50'), Moreno Marquez (80')
Ramos (72'), Bueno (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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