Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
48.79% ( 0.11) | 25.83% ( -0.07) | 25.38% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.71% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.33% ( 0.25) | 53.67% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.84% ( 0.21) | 75.16% ( -0.2) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.98% ( 0.15) | 22.02% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.66% ( 0.23) | 55.34% ( -0.23) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.75% ( 0.1) | 36.25% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.96% ( 0.1) | 73.04% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |