Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Granada |
47.51% ( -0.03) | 27.58% ( -0.03) | 24.91% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 44.48% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.77% ( 0.15) | 60.23% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.58% ( 0.12) | 80.41% ( -0.12) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.54% ( 0.06) | 25.46% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.71% ( 0.08) | 60.29% ( -0.07) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.67% ( 0.15) | 40.32% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.05% ( 0.13) | 76.95% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 14.04% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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