Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
50.82% ( -0.28) | 26.3% ( 0.04) | 22.88% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 45.92% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.64% ( 0.06) | 57.36% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.82% ( 0.05) | 78.18% ( -0.05) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% ( -0.1) | 22.67% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.69% ( -0.15) | 56.31% ( 0.14) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.38% ( 0.27) | 40.62% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.79% ( 0.25) | 77.21% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 13.66% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.81% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |