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La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Villarreal logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Villarreal

Lino (72')
Gonzalez (27'), Lino (27'), Correia (39'), Cavani (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jackson (62')
Jackson (41'), Parejo (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 30 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Celta Vigo
Sunday, April 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-2 Villarreal

Fighting for their lives at the bottom end of the table, Valencia will be desperate to pick up a positive result on Wednesday, but in-form Villarreal will not make life easy for the hosts. Having won seven of their last 10 league outings – including three of their previous four away games – Villarreal look set to pile more pressure on the relegation strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
35.28% (-0.132 -0.13) 25.81% (0.792 0.79) 38.89% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-2.785 -2.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (-3.581 -3.58)49.45% (3.572 3.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (-3.308 -3.31)71.49% (3.298 3.3)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (-1.768 -1.77)27.01% (1.757 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (-2.369 -2.37)62.36% (2.36 2.36)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-1.958 -1.96)24.97% (1.949 1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (-2.79 -2.79)59.62% (2.781 2.78)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 35.28%
    Villarreal 38.89%
    Draw 25.8%
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 8.83% (0.828 0.83)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.272 0.27)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.298 -0.3)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.49 0.49)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.931 0.93)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.212 -0.21)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.82 0.82)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.49% (0.222 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.295 -0.3)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.335 -0.34)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.89%

How you voted: Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia
24.6%
Draw
17.5%
Villarreal
57.9%
114
Head to Head
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
Musah (35')
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 12
Valencia
2-0
Villarreal
Guillamon (43'), Soler (77' pen.)
Guillamon (47'), Alderete (63')

Danjuma (53'), Trigueros (73'), Albiol (75'), Chukwueze (79')
Mar 5, 2021 8pm
gameweek 26
Valencia
2-1
Villarreal
Soler (86' pen.), Guedes (90+2')
Racic (14'), Soler (23'), Gaya (39'), Gomez (67')
Moreno (40' pen.)
Foyth (36'), Capoue (42'), Albiol (85')
Oct 18, 2020 3pm
gameweek 6
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Alcacer (6' pen.), Parejo (69')
Iborra (12'), Pedraza (52'), Kubo (72')
Kubo (90+2')
Guedes (37')
Paulista (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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