Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Osasuna |
58.05% ( -0.21) | 21.72% ( 0.11) | 20.23% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 56.32% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% ( -0.37) | 41.8% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% ( -0.37) | 64.2% ( 0.37) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.86% ( -0.19) | 14.14% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.2% ( -0.37) | 41.79% ( 0.37) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.59% ( -0.12) | 34.41% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.88% ( -0.13) | 71.12% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Osasuna |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.05% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |