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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
60.6% ( -0.44) | 20.76% ( 0.05) | 18.64% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 56.82% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.18% ( 0.4) | 39.82% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.82% ( 0.41) | 62.18% ( -0.42) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.27% ( -0) | 12.74% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.02% ( -0) | 38.98% ( 0) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.11% ( 0.66) | 34.89% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.37% ( 0.69) | 71.63% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.64% Total : 60.6% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.81% Total : 18.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |