MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 22:04:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Montpellier

Toulouse
1 - 2
Montpellier

Dallinga (34')
Nicolaisen (54'), Diarra (60')
Nicolaisen (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Savanier (27'), Fayad (81')
Savanier (26'), Leroy (44'), Karamoh (90+5'), Fayad (90+6')
Savanier (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Nantes
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Montpellier HSC

Considering their questionable form in front of their own supporters, home advantage is set to mean little for Toulouse as they welcome Montpellier to the Southern France. Les Violets have meetings with PSG and third-placed Brest to round off the campaign, meaning that Friday's clash represents the final realistic opportunity to earn some points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawMontpellier HSC
37.1% (-0.732 -0.73) 25.23% (0.185 0.18) 37.67% (0.549 0.55)
Both teams to score 56.95% (-0.663 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.3% (-0.852 -0.85)46.7% (0.853 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.03% (-0.802 -0.8)68.96% (0.804 0.8)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.78099999999999 -0.78)24.69% (0.781 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (-1.103 -1.1)59.22% (1.105 1.11)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)24.38% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.21% (-0.131 -0.13)58.78% (0.132 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 37.1%
    Montpellier HSC 37.67%
    Draw 25.22%
ToulouseDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.89% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 37.1%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.278 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 6% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.025 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 37.67%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Montpellier

Toulouse
42.4%
Draw
40.7%
Montpellier HSC
16.9%
59
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Adams (13', 72'), Fayad (63')
Fayad (30'), Kouyate (45+2')

Suazo (34'), Magri (38'), Schmidt (63')
Apr 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Montpellier
1-2
Toulouse
Wahi (88')
Dallinga (31'), Chaibi (85')
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
Spierings (18'), Aboukhlal (24'), Chaibi (31'), Dejaegere (48')
Cozza (7'), Wahi (68')
May 23, 2020 7pm
Nov 10, 2019 4pm
Gameweek 13
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Laborde (43'), Le Tallec (59'), Savanier (75')
Chotard (34'), Sambia (87')

Sangare (39'), Vainqueur (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG332110279334673
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice33159938271154
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille3312111050401047
9Rennes331210115244846
10Reims33128134046-644
11Toulouse331110124243-143
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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