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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Columbus Crew

Chicago Fire
1 - 3
Columbus Crew

Teran (85')
Czichos (24'), Gutierrez (45'), Navarro (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rossi (30'), Ramirez (55'), Russell-Rowe (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 Columbus Crew

With renewed confidence from a return to winning ways in the week, we anticipate the defending MLS champions being too strong for their struggling hosts in Illinois and taking another three-point haul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawColumbus Crew
36.27% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 24.73% (0.026 0.03) 39% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.7% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57% (-0.121 -0.12)44.43% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (-0.115 -0.12)66.8% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)24.1% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)58.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)22.67% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.131 -0.13)56.31% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 36.27%
    Columbus Crew 39%
    Draw 24.72%
Chicago FireDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.53% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 36.27%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew

Chicago Fire
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Columbus Crew
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 12.30am
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Chicago Fire
Camilo Hernandez (8' pen., 16' pen., 23')

Brady (8'), Souquet (13'), Czichos (33'), Shaqiri (44'), Koutsias (72'), Przybylko (74')
Shaqiri (66')
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Columbus Crew
Shaqiri (88')
Navarro (45+5'), Herbers (89')
Camilo Hernandez (59'), Zelarayan (90+3')
Amundsen (20'), Zawadzki (29'), Farsi (81'), Zelarayan (90+5')
Sep 3, 2022 10.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-0
Chicago Fire
Diaz Espinoza (74')
Herbers (85'), Espinoza (90+7')
Jul 10, 2022 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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