Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
53.62% ( 0.03) | 22.61% | 23.77% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.28% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.46% ( -0.04) | 41.54% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.06% ( -0.04) | 63.94% ( 0.04) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.51% ( -0) | 15.49% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.62% ( -0) | 44.38% ( 0.01) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.96% ( -0.05) | 31.04% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.65% ( -0.06) | 67.35% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.62% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 23.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |