Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Dallas |
70.18% ( 0.4) | 17.16% ( -0.19) | 12.66% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 55.13% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.97% ( 0.43) | 35.03% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.98% ( 0.48) | 57.02% ( -0.48) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.07% ( 0.2) | 8.93% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.51% ( 0.49) | 30.49% ( -0.48) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.53% ( -0.02) | 39.47% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.84% ( -0.02) | 76.16% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Dallas |
2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 70.18% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.16% | 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 12.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |