Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
52.1% ( -0.01) | 23.17% | 24.73% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.5% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.91% ( 0.01) | 43.08% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.51% ( 0.01) | 65.48% ( -0.01) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.43% | 16.57% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.64% ( -0) | 46.36% ( 0) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% ( 0.02) | 31.08% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.6% ( 0.02) | 67.4% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.26% Total : 52.1% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |